Iran's Islamic Republic enforces Sharia law criminalizing same-sex relations with penalties up to death, a stance unchanged under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and policed by the judiciary and Guardian Council, which vets all legislation for Islamic compliance. No legislative proposals, official announcements, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.7% against legalization amid ongoing LGBTQ crackdowns and regional tensions. Even unsubstantiated March 2026 rumors of elite involvement in homosexuality failed to shift odds meaningfully. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented upheaval, such as regime collapse or revolutionary secularization, though no such catalysts appear imminent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$41,153 거래량
$41,153 거래량
2026.12.31
$41,153 거래량
$41,153 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic enforces Sharia law criminalizing same-sex relations with penalties up to death, a stance unchanged under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and policed by the judiciary and Guardian Council, which vets all legislation for Islamic compliance. No legislative proposals, official announcements, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.7% against legalization amid ongoing LGBTQ crackdowns and regional tensions. Even unsubstantiated March 2026 rumors of elite involvement in homosexuality failed to shift odds meaningfully. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented upheaval, such as regime collapse or revolutionary secularization, though no such catalysts appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
거래량
$41,153종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic enforces Sharia law criminalizing same-sex relations with penalties up to death, a stance unchanged under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and policed by the judiciary and Guardian Council, which vets all legislation for Islamic compliance. No legislative proposals, official announcements, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.7% against legalization amid ongoing LGBTQ crackdowns and regional tensions. Even unsubstantiated March 2026 rumors of elite involvement in homosexuality failed to shift odds meaningfully. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented upheaval, such as regime collapse or revolutionary secularization, though no such catalysts appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$41,153종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic enforces Sharia law criminalizing same-sex relations with penalties up to death, a stance unchanged under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and policed by the judiciary and Guardian Council, which vets all legislation for Islamic compliance. No legislative proposals, official announcements, or reform signals have emerged in recent months, reinforcing trader consensus at 97.7% against legalization amid ongoing LGBTQ crackdowns and regional tensions. Even unsubstantiated March 2026 rumors of elite involvement in homosexuality failed to shift odds meaningfully. Realistic shifts would require unprecedented upheaval, such as regime collapse or revolutionary secularization, though no such catalysts appear imminent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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