Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential operations in Cuba, as revealed in USA Today on April 15, have failed to prompt concrete mobilization or presidential orders from Donald Trump, sustaining trader consensus at 76% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. This follows Trump's January executive order declaring a national emergency over Cuban threats, tightening oil sanctions on suppliers like Venezuela, and spurring bilateral talks where Havana proposed an economic roadmap in March amid blackouts and protests. Cuba's defensive rhetoric and prisoner releases signal de-escalation efforts, while U.S. resources remain stretched across Iran and Venezuela conflicts, erecting high barriers to full-scale military action absent major provocations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,421,904 거래량
$1,421,904 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$1,421,904 거래량
$1,421,904 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential operations in Cuba, as revealed in USA Today on April 15, have failed to prompt concrete mobilization or presidential orders from Donald Trump, sustaining trader consensus at 76% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. This follows Trump's January executive order declaring a national emergency over Cuban threats, tightening oil sanctions on suppliers like Venezuela, and spurring bilateral talks where Havana proposed an economic roadmap in March amid blackouts and protests. Cuba's defensive rhetoric and prisoner releases signal de-escalation efforts, while U.S. resources remain stretched across Iran and Venezuela conflicts, erecting high barriers to full-scale military action absent major provocations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$1,421,904종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential operations in Cuba, as revealed in USA Today on April 15, have failed to prompt concrete mobilization or presidential orders from Donald Trump, sustaining trader consensus at 76% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. This follows Trump's January executive order declaring a national emergency over Cuban threats, tightening oil sanctions on suppliers like Venezuela, and spurring bilateral talks where Havana proposed an economic roadmap in March amid blackouts and protests. Cuba's defensive rhetoric and prisoner releases signal de-escalation efforts, while U.S. resources remain stretched across Iran and Venezuela conflicts, erecting high barriers to full-scale military action absent major provocations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$1,421,904종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of Pentagon contingency planning accelerating for potential operations in Cuba, as revealed in USA Today on April 15, have failed to prompt concrete mobilization or presidential orders from Donald Trump, sustaining trader consensus at 76% against a U.S. invasion in 2026. This follows Trump's January executive order declaring a national emergency over Cuban threats, tightening oil sanctions on suppliers like Venezuela, and spurring bilateral talks where Havana proposed an economic roadmap in March amid blackouts and protests. Cuba's defensive rhetoric and prisoner releases signal de-escalation efforts, while U.S. resources remain stretched across Iran and Venezuela conflicts, erecting high barriers to full-scale military action absent major provocations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문