Recent Pentagon reports from the past 48 hours reveal accelerated contingency planning for a potential U.S. military operation in Cuba, amid President Trump's "Cuba is next" rhetoric following Venezuelan actions and a January 2026 oil blockade exacerbating island blackouts and economic collapse. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed robust defense on the Bay of Pigs anniversary, signaling escalation signals. Yet trader consensus holds "No" at 75.5%, driven by lack of congressional authorization—as noted by Sen. Kaine—divided U.S. focus on the Iran war, historical reluctance for unprovoked invasions, and absence of direct provocation like attacks on U.S. interests, positioning full-scale invasion as unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,419,726 거래량
$1,419,726 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$1,419,726 거래량
$1,419,726 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent Pentagon reports from the past 48 hours reveal accelerated contingency planning for a potential U.S. military operation in Cuba, amid President Trump's "Cuba is next" rhetoric following Venezuelan actions and a January 2026 oil blockade exacerbating island blackouts and economic collapse. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed robust defense on the Bay of Pigs anniversary, signaling escalation signals. Yet trader consensus holds "No" at 75.5%, driven by lack of congressional authorization—as noted by Sen. Kaine—divided U.S. focus on the Iran war, historical reluctance for unprovoked invasions, and absence of direct provocation like attacks on U.S. interests, positioning full-scale invasion as unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$1,419,726종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent Pentagon reports from the past 48 hours reveal accelerated contingency planning for a potential U.S. military operation in Cuba, amid President Trump's "Cuba is next" rhetoric following Venezuelan actions and a January 2026 oil blockade exacerbating island blackouts and economic collapse. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed robust defense on the Bay of Pigs anniversary, signaling escalation signals. Yet trader consensus holds "No" at 75.5%, driven by lack of congressional authorization—as noted by Sen. Kaine—divided U.S. focus on the Iran war, historical reluctance for unprovoked invasions, and absence of direct provocation like attacks on U.S. interests, positioning full-scale invasion as unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$1,419,726종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Pentagon reports from the past 48 hours reveal accelerated contingency planning for a potential U.S. military operation in Cuba, amid President Trump's "Cuba is next" rhetoric following Venezuelan actions and a January 2026 oil blockade exacerbating island blackouts and economic collapse. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed robust defense on the Bay of Pigs anniversary, signaling escalation signals. Yet trader consensus holds "No" at 75.5%, driven by lack of congressional authorization—as noted by Sen. Kaine—divided U.S. focus on the Iran war, historical reluctance for unprovoked invasions, and absence of direct provocation like attacks on U.S. interests, positioning full-scale invasion as unlikely before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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