Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on repealing presidential term limits in 2026, reflecting the 22nd Amendment's stringent requirements: two-thirds supermajorities in both houses of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet since 1951 amid current slim Republican majorities. No legislative progress has occurred on resolutions like H.J.Res. 29 by Rep. Andy Ogles to permit three terms, with zero committee hearings or votes reported. In the past week, President Trump advocated constitutional term limits for Congress—six years in the House, 12 in the Senate—signaling focus on curbing career politicians rather than extending executive tenure. Midterm elections in November loom as the next potential catalyst, but historical precedents show such amendments face insurmountable bipartisan opposition barring extraordinary shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
마켓 개설일: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5¢ on repealing presidential term limits in 2026, reflecting the 22nd Amendment's stringent requirements: two-thirds supermajorities in both houses of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet since 1951 amid current slim Republican majorities. No legislative progress has occurred on resolutions like H.J.Res. 29 by Rep. Andy Ogles to permit three terms, with zero committee hearings or votes reported. In the past week, President Trump advocated constitutional term limits for Congress—six years in the House, 12 in the Senate—signaling focus on curbing career politicians rather than extending executive tenure. Midterm elections in November loom as the next potential catalyst, but historical precedents show such amendments face insurmountable bipartisan opposition barring extraordinary shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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