Traders assign the highest implied probability (54.5%) to a Dallas high of 100–101°F on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus for peak temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of 96–99°F. Persistent high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow have supported daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate conditions. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 98–102°F, while climatological data indicate that early-August extremes in the region rarely exceed 103°F absent a stronger heat dome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine the final reading at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 2%
$20,152 Wol.
$20,152 Wol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 2%
$20,152 Wol.
$20,152 Wol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (54.5%) to a Dallas high of 100–101°F on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and AccuWeather model consensus for peak temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of 96–99°F. Persistent high pressure, abundant sunshine, and light southerly flow have supported daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate conditions. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with most runs clustering between 98–102°F, while climatological data indicate that early-August extremes in the region rarely exceed 103°F absent a stronger heat dome. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine the final reading at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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