Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 Wol.
$32,085 Wol.
May 3, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 Wol.
$32,085 Wol.
May 3, 2026
15°C or below
$490 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,546 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,374 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,425 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,352 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,210 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,371 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,070 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$5,830 Wol.
No
24°C
$3,123 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$5,294 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,085Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$32,085Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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