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Netanyahu predictions & odds

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Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

12%

$876 Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

15%

$193K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

8

Ends in 2 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$118M Vol.

$112K today

$364K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

15%

April 30

$10.7K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Yulia Navalnaya

$14M Vol.

$111K today

$2M Liq.

160

Ends in 6 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5M Vol.

$676K Liq.

158

Ends in 9 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

92%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$5M Vol.

$56.2K today

$579K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

79%

Jerome Powell

$190K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

30%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$105K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

8%

Any U.S. House member

$333K Vol.

$184K Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

16%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

353

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

69%

Friedrich / Merz

$88.9K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 11 days

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$185K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

15%

May 31

$746K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

42

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

18%

June 30

$927K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

22

Ends in 2 months

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

96%

December 31

$46M Vol.

$2M today

$492K Liq.

2,572

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

32%

3

$6M Vol.

$205K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

81%

2

$114K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

44%

$19.8K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Netanyahu.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Netanyahu that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $199.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Netanyahu predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.