The National Weather Service and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 73–77°F in Chicago on April 13, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong consensus on a warming trend. Following a chilly spell with highs near 36–50°F earlier this week, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build aloft, steering warm southerly winds and subsidence aloft—conditions well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. This positioning reflects recent observational data confirming the setup, including upper-air analyses showing favorable 500-mb heights. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of a cool front or persistent low clouds capping daytime heating, with final clarity from Saturday's model runs and soundings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
74°F or higher 92%
72-73°F 7.3%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$36,249 Vol.
$36,249 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
92%
74°F or higher 92%
72-73°F 7.3%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$36,249 Vol.
$36,249 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service and major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 73–77°F in Chicago on April 13, driving the 91.5% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong consensus on a warming trend. Following a chilly spell with highs near 36–50°F earlier this week, a ridge of high pressure is expected to build aloft, steering warm southerly winds and subsidence aloft—conditions well above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F. This positioning reflects recent observational data confirming the setup, including upper-air analyses showing favorable 500-mb heights. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of a cool front or persistent low clouds capping daytime heating, with final clarity from Saturday's model runs and soundings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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