Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to a 14°C high in Istanbul on April 13, closely followed by 13°C at 29%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, converging on mild highs amid persistent northerly airflow. April 12 observations topped at 13°C under sunny intervals with light easterly winds, reflecting a cool continental air mass slightly below the 15.3°C April climatological average, limiting daytime heating despite clear skies and low humidity. Ensemble spreads indicate minor uncertainty from potential cloud development or wind shifts, with overnight updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 12%
12°C 7%
$13,218 Vol.
$13,218 Vol.
13 abr 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 12%
12°C 7%
$13,218 Vol.
$13,218 Vol.
13 abr 2026
9°C or below
$1,010 Vol.
1%
10°C
$695 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,227 Vol.
3%
12°C
$1,586 Vol.
7%
13°C
$1,083 Vol.
28%
14°C
$1,057 Vol.
39%
15°C
$1,881 Vol.
12%
16°C
$1,653 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,320 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to a 14°C high in Istanbul on April 13, closely followed by 13°C at 29%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, converging on mild highs amid persistent northerly airflow. April 12 observations topped at 13°C under sunny intervals with light easterly winds, reflecting a cool continental air mass slightly below the 15.3°C April climatological average, limiting daytime heating despite clear skies and low humidity. Ensemble spreads indicate minor uncertainty from potential cloud development or wind shifts, with overnight updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$13,218Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to a 14°C high in Istanbul on April 13, closely followed by 13°C at 29%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, converging on mild highs amid persistent northerly airflow. April 12 observations topped at 13°C under sunny intervals with light easterly winds, reflecting a cool continental air mass slightly below the 15.3°C April climatological average, limiting daytime heating despite clear skies and low humidity. Ensemble spreads indicate minor uncertainty from potential cloud development or wind shifts, with overnight updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,218Data de Término
13 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to a 14°C high in Istanbul on April 13, closely followed by 13°C at 29%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, converging on mild highs amid persistent northerly airflow. April 12 observations topped at 13°C under sunny intervals with light easterly winds, reflecting a cool continental air mass slightly below the 15.3°C April climatological average, limiting daytime heating despite clear skies and low humidity. Ensemble spreads indicate minor uncertainty from potential cloud development or wind shifts, with overnight updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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