Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at a 100% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3, driven by observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations already recording peaks near 17°C midday amid southerly winds and partial clearing skies that enhance solar heating. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS align on highs of 17–19°C, well above the April climatological average of 16°C, with current readings at 15°C and rising through afternoon peak hours. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time meteorology, though an improbable late-day cold front or prolonged overcast could cap temperatures below 17°C; final MGM observations expected by midnight will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
$40,606 Vol.
$40,606 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
$40,606 Vol.
$40,606 Vol.
3 abr 2026
16°C
$4,353 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$5,549 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at a 100% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3, driven by observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations already recording peaks near 17°C midday amid southerly winds and partial clearing skies that enhance solar heating. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS align on highs of 17–19°C, well above the April climatological average of 16°C, with current readings at 15°C and rising through afternoon peak hours. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time meteorology, though an improbable late-day cold front or prolonged overcast could cap temperatures below 17°C; final MGM observations expected by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volume
$40,606Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at a 100% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3, driven by observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations already recording peaks near 17°C midday amid southerly winds and partial clearing skies that enhance solar heating. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS align on highs of 17–19°C, well above the April climatological average of 16°C, with current readings at 15°C and rising through afternoon peak hours. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time meteorology, though an improbable late-day cold front or prolonged overcast could cap temperatures below 17°C; final MGM observations expected by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$40,606Data de Término
3 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 17°C or higher at a 100% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 3, driven by observational data from Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations already recording peaks near 17°C midday amid southerly winds and partial clearing skies that enhance solar heating. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS align on highs of 17–19°C, well above the April climatological average of 16°C, with current readings at 15°C and rising through afternoon peak hours. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with real-time meteorology, though an improbable late-day cold front or prolonged overcast could cap temperatures below 17°C; final MGM observations expected by midnight will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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