IMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
39°C 32%
41°C 30%
40°C 26%
42°C 14%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
32%
40°C
26%
41°C
30%
42°C
14%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
39°C 32%
41°C 30%
40°C 26%
42°C 14%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
32%
40°C
26%
41°C
30%
42°C
14%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...IMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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