Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 31°C amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with model consensus centering on 29–30°C highs under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Current market-implied odds reflect trader alignment with this outlook, as 29°C leads at 42.5% while 28–30°C together exceed 90% probability, consistent with official guidance from PAGASA and international models showing minimal deviation expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 6 de agosto?
29°C 50%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
50%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 50%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
$236 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$245 Vol.
3%
28°C
$210 Vol.
19%
29°C
$3,128 Vol.
50%
30°C
$605 Vol.
28%
31°C
$313 Vol.
5%
32°C
$124 Vol.
1%
33°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 31°C amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with model consensus centering on 29–30°C highs under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Current market-implied odds reflect trader alignment with this outlook, as 29°C leads at 42.5% while 28–30°C together exceed 90% probability, consistent with official guidance from PAGASA and international models showing minimal deviation expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,744Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 31°C amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with model consensus centering on 29–30°C highs under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Current market-implied odds reflect trader alignment with this outlook, as 29°C leads at 42.5% while 28–30°C together exceed 90% probability, consistent with official guidance from PAGASA and international models showing minimal deviation expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,744Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a maximum of 31°C amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with model consensus centering on 29–30°C highs under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31°C by limiting solar heating and promoting evaporative cooling. Current market-implied odds reflect trader alignment with this outlook, as 29°C leads at 42.5% while 28–30°C together exceed 90% probability, consistent with official guidance from PAGASA and international models showing minimal deviation expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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