Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
26°C 40%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
25%
26°C
40%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 25%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 abr 2026
21°C or below
$368 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$284 Vol.
2%
24°C
$594 Vol.
8%
25°C
$294 Vol.
25%
26°C
$295 Vol.
40%
27°C
$306 Vol.
22%
28°C
$242 Vol.
8%
29°C
$454 Vol.
3%
30°C
$419 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$631 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$4,130Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,130Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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