Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5% implied probability) and 23°C (28%) as the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa International Airport on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the 23-25°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe. Recent model runs in the past 24 hours have trended warmer due to anticipated clear skies, minimal cloud cover, light southerly winds, and ample solar insolation from lengthening spring days, boosting afternoon heating beyond the April climatological average of 18°C. Italy's Aeronautica Militare corroborates 23°C, though urban heat island effects at the airport station add upside potential to 24°C. Ensembles show uncertainty from possible convective clouds; new 00Z runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 41%
23°C 29%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$17,450 Vol.
NOVO
$17,450 Vol.
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
41%
25°C
10%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 41%
23°C 29%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
$17,450 Vol.
NOVO
$17,450 Vol.
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,202 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,229 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,148 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,259 Vol.
29%
24°C
$943 Vol.
41%
25°C
$1,293 Vol.
10%
26°C
$1,332 Vol.
3%
27°C
$988 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,067 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5% implied probability) and 23°C (28%) as the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa International Airport on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the 23-25°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe. Recent model runs in the past 24 hours have trended warmer due to anticipated clear skies, minimal cloud cover, light southerly winds, and ample solar insolation from lengthening spring days, boosting afternoon heating beyond the April climatological average of 18°C. Italy's Aeronautica Militare corroborates 23°C, though urban heat island effects at the airport station add upside potential to 24°C. Ensembles show uncertainty from possible convective clouds; new 00Z runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$17,450Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5% implied probability) and 23°C (28%) as the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa International Airport on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the 23-25°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe. Recent model runs in the past 24 hours have trended warmer due to anticipated clear skies, minimal cloud cover, light southerly winds, and ample solar insolation from lengthening spring days, boosting afternoon heating beyond the April climatological average of 18°C. Italy's Aeronautica Militare corroborates 23°C, though urban heat island effects at the airport station add upside potential to 24°C. Ensembles show uncertainty from possible convective clouds; new 00Z runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,450Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (41.5% implied probability) and 23°C (28%) as the highest temperature at Milan Malpensa International Airport on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the 23-25°C range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe. Recent model runs in the past 24 hours have trended warmer due to anticipated clear skies, minimal cloud cover, light southerly winds, and ample solar insolation from lengthening spring days, boosting afternoon heating beyond the April climatological average of 18°C. Italy's Aeronautica Militare corroborates 23°C, though urban heat island effects at the airport station add upside potential to 24°C. Ensembles show uncertainty from possible convective clouds; new 00Z runs and real-time observations will refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions