Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?

abr 12

abr 13

abr 12

abr 13

11°C ou mais 99.3%

7°C <1%

10°C <1%

9°C <1%

Polymarket

$71,581 Vol.

11°C ou mais 99.3%

7°C <1%

10°C <1%

9°C <1%

Polymarket

$71,581 Vol.

1°C ou menos

$3,651 Vol.

<1%

2°C

$7,802 Vol.

<1%

3°C

$2,490 Vol.

<1%

4°C

$7,623 Vol.

<1%

5°C

$5,797 Vol.

<1%

6°C

$7,433 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$7,223 Vol.

1%

8°C

$6,448 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$8,921 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$6,452 Vol.

1%

11°C ou mais

$7,742 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,581
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$71,581
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C ou mais" at 99%, followed by "10°C" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?" has generated $71.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?" is "11°C ou mais" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10°C" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.