Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a tight clustering of maximum temperatures around 17-20°C at Munich Airport Station for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (31%), 19°C (32.5%), and 20°C (27%) as leading outcomes amid inherent short-range uncertainty. A transitional weather pattern features a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mild southerly flows and above-average spring conditions following cooler readings like 13°C on April 15, but ensemble spreads reflect variability in cloud cover and timing of diurnal heating that could nudge the peak by 1-2°C. Key differentiators include low-level wind shear minimizing mixing and solar insolation potential under partly cloudy skies; watch 00Z model updates and early morning soundings for shifts before resolution based on official DWD observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
19°C 33%
18°C 32%
20°C 27%
21°C 4.5%
$14,171 Vol.
$14,171 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
32%
19°C
33%
20°C
27%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 33%
18°C 32%
20°C 27%
21°C 4.5%
$14,171 Vol.
$14,171 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
32%
19°C
33%
20°C
27%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicate a tight clustering of maximum temperatures around 17-20°C at Munich Airport Station for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (31%), 19°C (32.5%), and 20°C (27%) as leading outcomes amid inherent short-range uncertainty. A transitional weather pattern features a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting mild southerly flows and above-average spring conditions following cooler readings like 13°C on April 15, but ensemble spreads reflect variability in cloud cover and timing of diurnal heating that could nudge the peak by 1-2°C. Key differentiators include low-level wind shear minimizing mixing and solar insolation potential under partly cloudy skies; watch 00Z model updates and early morning soundings for shifts before resolution based on official DWD observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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