Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 33.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Panama City on April 17, reflecting the latest guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This positioning stems from recent observations of highs reaching 34°C mid-week amid lingering dry-season solar heating, tempered by emerging convective activity signaling the transition to Panama's wet season. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence, which could suppress maxima to 32°C or below (15.5% odds), or clearer conditions allowing 34-35°C (37% combined). Forecast uncertainty remains high due to model divergences on precipitation timing; monitor IMHPA updates through midday for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 17 de abril?
33°C 32%
35°C 19%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
1%
33°C 32%
35°C 19%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
28°C ou menos
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$909 Vol.
2%
31°C
$1,136 Vol.
5%
32°C
$371 Vol.
16%
33°C
$407 Vol.
32%
34°C
$369 Vol.
18%
35°C
$555 Vol.
19%
36°C
$336 Vol.
7%
37°C
$641 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$868 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 33.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Panama City on April 17, reflecting the latest guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This positioning stems from recent observations of highs reaching 34°C mid-week amid lingering dry-season solar heating, tempered by emerging convective activity signaling the transition to Panama's wet season. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence, which could suppress maxima to 32°C or below (15.5% odds), or clearer conditions allowing 34-35°C (37% combined). Forecast uncertainty remains high due to model divergences on precipitation timing; monitor IMHPA updates through midday for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,637Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 33.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Panama City on April 17, reflecting the latest guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This positioning stems from recent observations of highs reaching 34°C mid-week amid lingering dry-season solar heating, tempered by emerging convective activity signaling the transition to Panama's wet season. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence, which could suppress maxima to 32°C or below (15.5% odds), or clearer conditions allowing 34-35°C (37% combined). Forecast uncertainty remains high due to model divergences on precipitation timing; monitor IMHPA updates through midday for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,637Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 33.5% implied probability to a 33°C high temperature in Panama City on April 17, reflecting the latest guidance from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología (IMHPA) and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peaks near 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This positioning stems from recent observations of highs reaching 34°C mid-week amid lingering dry-season solar heating, tempered by emerging convective activity signaling the transition to Panama's wet season. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover from sea-breeze convergence, which could suppress maxima to 32°C or below (15.5% odds), or clearer conditions allowing 34-35°C (37% combined). Forecast uncertainty remains high due to model divergences on precipitation timing; monitor IMHPA updates through midday for shifts ahead of evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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