Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for a 68-69°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge at 500 mb, which is expected to diminish persistent marine stratus clouds and promote greater solar heating after morning fog burn-off. Recent observations confirm highs of 61-63°F over the past week amid cooler northerly winds and overcast skies, but guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects a warming trend with light NNW winds (10-20 mph) and sunny afternoons, aligning with April climatological norms around 65°F. Key uncertainties include exact stratus clearance timing and coastal microclimate effects, with final NWS updates due midday April 16 and peak temperatures typically between 2-4 PM PDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 45%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 7%
NOVO
$21,943 Vol.
NOVO
$21,943 Vol.
17 abr 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
45%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 45%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 7%
NOVO
$21,943 Vol.
NOVO
$21,943 Vol.
17 abr 2026
57°F or below
$1,915 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,624 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,630 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$1,283 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$1,104 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$2,922 Vol.
45%
70-71°F
$1,749 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$1,555 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,774 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$2,308 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for a 68-69°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge at 500 mb, which is expected to diminish persistent marine stratus clouds and promote greater solar heating after morning fog burn-off. Recent observations confirm highs of 61-63°F over the past week amid cooler northerly winds and overcast skies, but guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects a warming trend with light NNW winds (10-20 mph) and sunny afternoons, aligning with April climatological norms around 65°F. Key uncertainties include exact stratus clearance timing and coastal microclimate effects, with final NWS updates due midday April 16 and peak temperatures typically between 2-4 PM PDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$21,943Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for a 68-69°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge at 500 mb, which is expected to diminish persistent marine stratus clouds and promote greater solar heating after morning fog burn-off. Recent observations confirm highs of 61-63°F over the past week amid cooler northerly winds and overcast skies, but guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects a warming trend with light NNW winds (10-20 mph) and sunny afternoons, aligning with April climatological norms around 65°F. Key uncertainties include exact stratus clearance timing and coastal microclimate effects, with final NWS updates due midday April 16 and peak temperatures typically between 2-4 PM PDT.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,943Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for a 68-69°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a strengthening upper-level ridge at 500 mb, which is expected to diminish persistent marine stratus clouds and promote greater solar heating after morning fog burn-off. Recent observations confirm highs of 61-63°F over the past week amid cooler northerly winds and overcast skies, but guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects a warming trend with light NNW winds (10-20 mph) and sunny afternoons, aligning with April climatological norms around 65°F. Key uncertainties include exact stratus clearance timing and coastal microclimate effects, with final NWS updates due midday April 16 and peak temperatures typically between 2-4 PM PDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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