Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded a highest temperature of precisely 25°C on April 11, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary INMET data confirms the reading amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia predicting maxima around 24-26°C under lingering post-frontal stability, typical for São Paulo's autumn climatology where average April highs hover near 25°C on the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible—only an instrument recalibration or rare data audit by official agencies could prompt revision, but standardized WMO-compliant measurements render such scenarios improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$72,763 Vol.
$72,763 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$72,763 Vol.
$72,763 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded a highest temperature of precisely 25°C on April 11, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary INMET data confirms the reading amid partly cloudy conditions and moderate daytime heating. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia predicting maxima around 24-26°C under lingering post-frontal stability, typical for São Paulo's autumn climatology where average April highs hover near 25°C on the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns. Realistic challenges are negligible—only an instrument recalibration or rare data audit by official agencies could prompt revision, but standardized WMO-compliant measurements render such scenarios improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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