The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de abril?
18°C ou mais 70%
17°C 24%
16°C 6%
15°C 2.6%
$106,445 Vol.
$106,445 Vol.
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
24%
18°C ou mais
70%
18°C ou mais 70%
17°C 24%
16°C 6%
15°C 2.6%
$106,445 Vol.
$106,445 Vol.
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
24%
18°C ou mais
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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