Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 69.5% probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (20%), amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an ongoing April heat anomaly. Recent observational data shows Seoul hitting 23°C on April 16—well above the long-term April average of 17°C—following record-breaking early-month highs that shattered 1907 benchmarks, per KMA records. The 22.5% odds on exactly 17°C reflect model spread from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where some runs indicate slight cooling from frontal influences. Updated KMA guidance and hourly observations expected throughout April 16 could refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul em 17 de abril?
18°C ou mais 70%
17°C 21%
16°C 8%
15°C 3.0%
NOVO
$97,781 Vol.
NOVO
$97,781 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C ou menos
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
8%
17°C
21%
18°C ou mais
70%
18°C ou mais 70%
17°C 21%
16°C 8%
15°C 3.0%
NOVO
$97,781 Vol.
NOVO
$97,781 Vol.
17 abr 2026
8°C ou menos
$16,597 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$10,842 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5,502 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5,084 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,998 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,067 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,458 Vol.
1%
15°C
$8,951 Vol.
3%
16°C
$8,287 Vol.
8%
17°C
$6,258 Vol.
21%
18°C ou mais
$15,924 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 69.5% probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (20%), amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an ongoing April heat anomaly. Recent observational data shows Seoul hitting 23°C on April 16—well above the long-term April average of 17°C—following record-breaking early-month highs that shattered 1907 benchmarks, per KMA records. The 22.5% odds on exactly 17°C reflect model spread from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where some runs indicate slight cooling from frontal influences. Updated KMA guidance and hourly observations expected throughout April 16 could refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$97,781Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 69.5% probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (20%), amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an ongoing April heat anomaly. Recent observational data shows Seoul hitting 23°C on April 16—well above the long-term April average of 17°C—following record-breaking early-month highs that shattered 1907 benchmarks, per KMA records. The 22.5% odds on exactly 17°C reflect model spread from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where some runs indicate slight cooling from frontal influences. Updated KMA guidance and hourly observations expected throughout April 16 could refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$97,781Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 69.5% probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 18°C or higher on April 17, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts projecting daytime highs near 19°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (20%), amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an ongoing April heat anomaly. Recent observational data shows Seoul hitting 23°C on April 16—well above the long-term April average of 17°C—following record-breaking early-month highs that shattered 1907 benchmarks, per KMA records. The 22.5% odds on exactly 17°C reflect model spread from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, where some runs indicate slight cooling from frontal influences. Updated KMA guidance and hourly observations expected throughout April 16 could refine these market-implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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