Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for 27°C slightly edging 26°C at 32%, reflecting minor divergences in cloud cover projections. Current conditions feature multi-cloud skies transitioning from overcast, with light northwest winds and highs above the mid-April climatological average of 22–24°C, supported by a warming trend post-rain on April 16 (23°C high). Key differentiators include solar insolation variability under partial cloudiness versus potential clearing skies pushing toward 28°C (16% odds); resolution hinges on official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport observations via whole-degree Celsius measurements, with updates expected throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,029 Vol.
$14,029 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 33%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,029 Vol.
$14,029 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C for Wuhan on April 17, driving trader consensus with 33.5% implied probability for 27°C slightly edging 26°C at 32%, reflecting minor divergences in cloud cover projections. Current conditions feature multi-cloud skies transitioning from overcast, with light northwest winds and highs above the mid-April climatological average of 22–24°C, supported by a warming trend post-rain on April 16 (23°C high). Key differentiators include solar insolation variability under partial cloudiness versus potential clearing skies pushing toward 28°C (16% odds); resolution hinges on official Wuhan Tianhe International Airport observations via whole-degree Celsius measurements, with updates expected throughout the day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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