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Precipitação em Seattle em abril?

Market icon

Precipitação em Seattle em abril?

abr 30

abr 30

2,5-3" 35%

3-3,5" 20%

3,5-4" 16.4%

<2,5" 14%

Polymarket

$44,605 Vol.

2,5-3" 35%

3-3,5" 20%

3,5-4" 16.4%

<2,5" 14%

Polymarket

$44,605 Vol.

<2,5"

$12,670 Vol.

14%

2,5-3"

$8,505 Vol.

32%

3-3,5"

$18,869 Vol.

20%

3,5-4"

$1,242 Vol.

16%

4-4,5"

$1,217 Vol.

9%

4,5-5"

$1,131 Vol.

3%

>5"

$972 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 16, observed precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport totals around 2.2 inches for the first half of the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on April 14 and 0.36 inches on April 15 following a drier-than-normal start of just 0.80 inches through April 13. Trader sentiment favors 3-3.5 inches overall (40% implied probability) over 2.5-3 inches (31.5%), reflecting NOAA ensemble forecast consensus for 0.8-1.3 inches remaining amid decreasing wet-day chances from 46% early April to 34% by month-end. ENSO-neutral conditions preserve climatological variability—historical April average near 2.9 inches—while spring outlooks tilt toward 40-50% below-normal totals due to potential high-pressure ridging; monitor NWS daily summaries and GFS/ECMWF updates for late-month atmospheric river risks that could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,605
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.As of April 16, observed precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport totals around 2.2 inches for the first half of the month, boosted by 1.06 inches on April 14 and 0.36 inches on April 15 following a drier-than-normal start of just 0.80 inches through April 13. Trader sentiment favors 3-3.5 inches overall (40% implied probability) over 2.5-3 inches (31.5%), reflecting NOAA ensemble forecast consensus for 0.8-1.3 inches remaining amid decreasing wet-day chances from 46% early April to 34% by month-end. ENSO-neutral conditions preserve climatological variability—historical April average near 2.9 inches—while spring outlooks tilt toward 40-50% below-normal totals due to potential high-pressure ridging; monitor NWS daily summaries and GFS/ECMWF updates for late-month atmospheric river risks that could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,605
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitação em Seattle em abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2,5-3"" at 32%, followed by "3-3,5"" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Precipitação em Seattle em abril?" has generated $44.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Precipitação em Seattle em abril?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitação em Seattle em abril?" is "2,5-3"" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3-3,5"" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitação em Seattle em abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.