Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

53%

December 31

$51.6K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

92%

$20.8K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

88%

July 31

$6.4K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

4

Ends em 9 meses

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

30%

$10.6K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

77%

↑ $264

$17.5K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

48%

25 - 30 minutes

$713 Vol.

$938 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

59%

60-79

$1.6K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

96%

$101K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

58%

$2.5K Vol.

$164 Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

AL-02 House Election Winner

AL-02 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$1.9K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$29.9K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

ASB Classic, Qualification: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Alina Charaeva

ASB Classic, Qualification: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Alina Charaeva

Ku

$23.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

51%

60-79

$1.0K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

$2.2K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

WTT - Women's Singles: Satsuki Odo vs Hitomi Sato

WTT - Women's Singles: Satsuki Odo vs Hitomi Sato

51%

Odo

$0 Vol.

$9 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

AL-06 House Election Winner

AL-06 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$9.8K Vol.

$58.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

5%

$4.4K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

AL-01 House Election Winner

AL-01 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$18.5K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

AL-05 House Election Winner

AL-05 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$900 Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Alito that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $307K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Alito predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.