Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 8°C or higher in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 9–11°C at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Morning observations show temperatures near 2–4°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with a continental spring pattern featuring cold air advection but sufficient solar heating to surpass 8°C amid low precipitation risk. Yesterday's high aligned near 7°C, boosting confidence in mild warming; however, any persistent cloud cover or showers could cap the peak. MGM updates every 12 hours, with final observations determining resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 11?
8°C or higher 84%
7°C 12%
6°C 2.3%
5°C 1.4%
$27,517 Объем
$27,517 Объем
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
2%
7°C
12%
8°C or higher
84%
8°C or higher 84%
7°C 12%
6°C 2.3%
5°C 1.4%
$27,517 Объем
$27,517 Объем
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
2%
7°C
12%
8°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85% implied probability to a high of 8°C or higher in Ankara today, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 9–11°C at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Morning observations show temperatures near 2–4°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with a continental spring pattern featuring cold air advection but sufficient solar heating to surpass 8°C amid low precipitation risk. Yesterday's high aligned near 7°C, boosting confidence in mild warming; however, any persistent cloud cover or showers could cap the peak. MGM updates every 12 hours, with final observations determining resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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