Trader consensus favors 88-89°F (24.5%) as Dallas's March 24 peak high, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting upper-80s temperatures under a potent upper-level ridge axis over Texas, fostering adiabatic warming and subsidence. Southerly winds advect warm, humid Gulf air, with minimal cloud interference boosting insolation, while dry soils enhance daytime heating—historical March 24 averages hover at 72°F, underscoring this anomalous warmth. Tight clustering among 86-91°F bins (21.5-17.5%) stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak-hour timing; subtle ridge positioning differentiates them, per recent 00Z runs. Watch 12Z updates for potential sharpening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 24 марта?
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
77°F или ниже
3%
78-79°F
4%
80–81°F
8%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
18%
92–93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F или выше
1%
88-89°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
90-91°F 18%
84-85°F 16%
77°F или ниже
3%
78-79°F
4%
80–81°F
8%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
18%
92–93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 88-89°F (24.5%) as Dallas's March 24 peak high, propelled by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting upper-80s temperatures under a potent upper-level ridge axis over Texas, fostering adiabatic warming and subsidence. Southerly winds advect warm, humid Gulf air, with minimal cloud interference boosting insolation, while dry soils enhance daytime heating—historical March 24 averages hover at 72°F, underscoring this anomalous warmth. Tight clustering among 86-91°F bins (21.5-17.5%) stems from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak-hour timing; subtle ridge positioning differentiates them, per recent 00Z runs. Watch 12Z updates for potential sharpening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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