Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 (41% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a building high-pressure ridge over Texas, with 850mb temperatures around +12°C supporting upper-60s peaks. GFS model runs from the past 24 hours converge on 67-70°F afternoon highs amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud interference, boosting sentiment for warmer outcomes over the 66-67°F cluster (20%). Recent soundings from DFW show dry mid-levels reducing rain chances, though lingering boundary layer moisture introduces slight downside risk for 64-65°F (12.5%), aligning with historical late-March averages near 68°F. Updated 12Z models tomorrow could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 42%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
52%
68°F or higher 42%
66-67°F 20%
64-65°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
7%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
20%
68°F or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 68°F or higher in Dallas on March 28 (41% implied probability), driven by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a building high-pressure ridge over Texas, with 850mb temperatures around +12°C supporting upper-60s peaks. GFS model runs from the past 24 hours converge on 67-70°F afternoon highs amid light southerly winds and minimal cloud interference, boosting sentiment for warmer outcomes over the 66-67°F cluster (20%). Recent soundings from DFW show dry mid-levels reducing rain chances, though lingering boundary layer moisture introduces slight downside risk for 64-65°F (12.5%), aligning with historical late-March averages near 68°F. Updated 12Z models tomorrow could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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