Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19°C and 20°C or higher for Wellington's March 26 high temperature, driven primarily by MetService's latest forecast pinpointing a 20°C maximum under a stabilizing high pressure ridge with light southerlies shifting northwesterly. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 19.5°C median at Wellington Airport—the official measurement site—reflecting minimal convective activity and low wind shear that curb extremes. Differentiating factors include potential northerly gusts boosting 20+ odds versus cloud cover capping at 19°C, against late March climatological highs averaging 20°C. Traders eye tomorrow's pre-dawn update, as autumnal variability often hinges on boundary layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 26?
19°C 32%
20°C or higher 30%
18°C 22%
17°C 11%
$52,746 Объем
$52,746 Объем
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
11%
18°C
22%
19°C
32%
20°C or higher
30%
19°C 32%
20°C or higher 30%
18°C 22%
17°C 11%
$52,746 Объем
$52,746 Объем
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
11%
18°C
22%
19°C
32%
20°C or higher
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19°C and 20°C or higher for Wellington's March 26 high temperature, driven primarily by MetService's latest forecast pinpointing a 20°C maximum under a stabilizing high pressure ridge with light southerlies shifting northwesterly. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 19.5°C median at Wellington Airport—the official measurement site—reflecting minimal convective activity and low wind shear that curb extremes. Differentiating factors include potential northerly gusts boosting 20+ odds versus cloud cover capping at 19°C, against late March climatological highs averaging 20°C. Traders eye tomorrow's pre-dawn update, as autumnal variability often hinges on boundary layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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