Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 5–7°C highs for Munich on March 27, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts converging on 5–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow from a persistent low-pressure system over Central Europe. These models highlight differentiating factors like variable cloud cover—potentially limiting insolation to boost 7°C odds if breaks occur midday—and diel temperature cycles influenced by light winds (5–10 km/h). Historical late-March norms average 11°C, but this anomalously cool air mass, verified by radiosonde data, suppresses peaks; upcoming 00Z runs could shift probabilities if boundary layer mixing intensifies, underscoring the market's razor-thin 27.5% implied odds for both 5°C and 6°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on March 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
5°C 28%
6°C 28%
7°C 27%
4°C 11%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
3%
2°C
4%
3°C
9%
4°C
11%
5°C
28%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
2%
5°C 28%
6°C 28%
7°C 27%
4°C 11%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
3%
2°C
4%
3°C
9%
4°C
11%
5°C
28%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 5–7°C highs for Munich on March 27, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts converging on 5–6°C amid a cool northerly airflow from a persistent low-pressure system over Central Europe. These models highlight differentiating factors like variable cloud cover—potentially limiting insolation to boost 7°C odds if breaks occur midday—and diel temperature cycles influenced by light winds (5–10 km/h). Historical late-March norms average 11°C, but this anomalously cool air mass, verified by radiosonde data, suppresses peaks; upcoming 00Z runs could shift probabilities if boundary layer mixing intensifies, underscoring the market's razor-thin 27.5% implied odds for both 5°C and 6°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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