Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 12–13°C, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs forecasting a mild Atlantic airflow with scattered clouds capping peaks under a weakening high-pressure ridge. At 32.5% implied odds, 13°C leads narrowly over 12°C (27%) due to slight diurnal warming potential in lighter winds, while 14°C (15.5%) lags on historical late-March baselines averaging 11–12°C amid urban heat island effects. Uncertainty stems from short-range convective risks and jet stream waviness, with official observations resolving via Heathrow data; traders eye afternoon updates for conviction as models converge on 12–13°C maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
13°C 33%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
15°C 12%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
11%
12°C
27%
13°C
33%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 33%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
15°C 12%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
11%
12°C
27%
13°C
33%
14°C
16%
15°C
12%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for London's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 12–13°C, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs forecasting a mild Atlantic airflow with scattered clouds capping peaks under a weakening high-pressure ridge. At 32.5% implied odds, 13°C leads narrowly over 12°C (27%) due to slight diurnal warming potential in lighter winds, while 14°C (15.5%) lags on historical late-March baselines averaging 11–12°C amid urban heat island effects. Uncertainty stems from short-range convective risks and jet stream waviness, with official observations resolving via Heathrow data; traders eye afternoon updates for conviction as models converge on 12–13°C maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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