Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high of 50-51°F (32%) over 52-53°F (29.5%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 50-52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds from Puget Sound, limiting solar insolation despite mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include subtle model spread: ECMWF leans cooler with prolonged stratus decks, while GFS hints at partial clearing by afternoon, potentially nudging toward 52°F; historical March 23 averages sit at 55°F, but cooler anomalies this week from Pacific high pressure ridging favor the lower bins. Key watch: 12z model updates today could shift odds if boundary layer mixing strengthens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 23 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 23 марта?
50-51°F 32%
52-53°F 30%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 10%
41°F или ниже
1%
42-43°F
5%
44–45°F
5%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
5%
60°F или выше
1%
50-51°F 32%
52-53°F 30%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 10%
41°F или ниже
1%
42-43°F
5%
44–45°F
5%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
32%
52-53°F
30%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
5%
60°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high of 50-51°F (32%) over 52-53°F (29.5%), driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 50-52°F amid persistent marine layer clouds from Puget Sound, limiting solar insolation despite mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include subtle model spread: ECMWF leans cooler with prolonged stratus decks, while GFS hints at partial clearing by afternoon, potentially nudging toward 52°F; historical March 23 averages sit at 55°F, but cooler anomalies this week from Pacific high pressure ridging favor the lower bins. Key watch: 12z model updates today could shift odds if boundary layer mixing strengthens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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