Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 22 hinges on short-range NOAA and ECMWF forecasts converging on 50-53°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, splitting odds nearly evenly between 50-51°F (33.5%) and 52-53°F (32.5%). These leading bins reflect model ensembles showing peak afternoon heating limited by overcast skies and light winds, with slight differentiation from boundary layer mixing—stronger insolation could nudge toward 52-53°F if stratus thins post-noon, while thicker clouds favor 50-51°F. Historical March 22 highs average 54°F, but this year's cooler Pacific sea surface temperatures suppress adiabatic warming, heightening uncertainty ahead of 18Z model updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 22 марта?
50–51°F 32%
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 16%
48-49°F 11%
45°F или ниже
2%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
11%
50–51°F
32%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F или выше
1%
50–51°F 32%
52-53°F 32%
54-55°F 16%
48-49°F 11%
45°F или ниже
2%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
11%
50–51°F
32%
52-53°F
32%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seattle's highest temperature on March 22 hinges on short-range NOAA and ECMWF forecasts converging on 50-53°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, splitting odds nearly evenly between 50-51°F (33.5%) and 52-53°F (32.5%). These leading bins reflect model ensembles showing peak afternoon heating limited by overcast skies and light winds, with slight differentiation from boundary layer mixing—stronger insolation could nudge toward 52-53°F if stratus thins post-noon, while thicker clouds favor 50-51°F. Historical March 22 highs average 54°F, but this year's cooler Pacific sea surface temperatures suppress adiabatic warming, heightening uncertainty ahead of 18Z model updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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