Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for San Francisco's KSFO station on March 27, with 72-73°F leading at 20% implied probability, driven by NOAA's latest forecast pinning the high near 72°F amid a developing high-pressure ridge over the West Coast. This setup promises sunnier skies and lighter marine layer influence than typical March norms (average high ~63°F), allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads: ECMWF favors 74-75°F via stronger offshore flow, while GFS holds steadier at 72°F; recent 12z runs nudged probabilities up for 76-77°F (16%) on peak ridge amplitude. Uncertainty lingers from potential overnight fog burn-off variability, per NWS guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 11%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
5%
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 11%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for San Francisco's KSFO station on March 27, with 72-73°F leading at 20% implied probability, driven by NOAA's latest forecast pinning the high near 72°F amid a developing high-pressure ridge over the West Coast. This setup promises sunnier skies and lighter marine layer influence than typical March norms (average high ~63°F), allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spreads: ECMWF favors 74-75°F via stronger offshore flow, while GFS holds steadier at 72°F; recent 12z runs nudged probabilities up for 76-77°F (16%) on peak ridge amplitude. Uncertainty lingers from potential overnight fog burn-off variability, per NWS guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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