Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mild highs of 21-24°C for Wuhan's March 27 peak temperature, with 24°C leading at 21% implied probability amid tight clustering, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 20-24°C under southerly airflow and above-average spring warmth. Recent observations show preceding days averaging 22°C, with soil temperatures and low cloud cover supporting potential spikes to 24°C, though a lingering weak cold front risks capping at 21°C per CMA guidance. Historical March 27 averages hover at 18.5°C, but this year's +3°C anomaly from ENSO-neutral patterns differentiates upper outcomes, pending final 00Z model runs tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
9%
24°C 21%
21°C 19%
18°C 19%
19°C 19%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
10%
18°C
19%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mild highs of 21-24°C for Wuhan's March 27 peak temperature, with 24°C leading at 21% implied probability amid tight clustering, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting 20-24°C under southerly airflow and above-average spring warmth. Recent observations show preceding days averaging 22°C, with soil temperatures and low cloud cover supporting potential spikes to 24°C, though a lingering weak cold front risks capping at 21°C per CMA guidance. Historical March 27 averages hover at 18.5°C, but this year's +3°C anomaly from ENSO-neutral patterns differentiates upper outcomes, pending final 00Z model runs tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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