Latest multi-model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 at 17-19°C, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader odds reflecting a mean around 18°C amid spring warming. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover—potentially reducing solar insolation by 1-2°C on partly cloudy runs—and weak cold air advection from northern fronts, which could cap highs at 17°C per some GFS members while clearer skies boost to 19°C in ECMWF outliers. Historical March 26 averages hover at 16-18°C, but urban heat island effects in Wuhan add ~1°C upside; uncertainty peaks in diurnal maximum timing, keeping lower probabilities for extremes. Traders eye hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 26?
18°C 26%
17°C 19%
19°C 19%
20°C 12%
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
19%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
6%
18°C 26%
17°C 19%
19°C 19%
20°C 12%
$23,810 Объем
$23,810 Объем
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
19%
18°C
26%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Wuhan's highest temperature on March 26 at 17-19°C, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader odds reflecting a mean around 18°C amid spring warming. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in predicted cloud cover—potentially reducing solar insolation by 1-2°C on partly cloudy runs—and weak cold air advection from northern fronts, which could cap highs at 17°C per some GFS members while clearer skies boost to 19°C in ECMWF outliers. Historical March 26 averages hover at 16-18°C, but urban heat island effects in Wuhan add ~1°C upside; uncertainty peaks in diurnal maximum timing, keeping lower probabilities for extremes. Traders eye hourly updates from China Meteorological Administration for resolution cues.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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