Trader sentiment for Chicago's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around the mid-50s°F, with 56°F or higher leading at 32.5% due to the latest National Weather Service forecast at O'Hare International Airport eyeing 54-56°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds enhancing diurnal mixing. Differentiating the top bins, ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-4°F spread from geopotential height anomalies over the Midwest—a weak upper trough risks cooler 52-53°F if clouds thicken (21% odds), while stronger warm advection could push 56°F+ (32.5%). Historical March norms (45-50°F) underscore the mild anomaly, but pre-frontal volatility tempers conviction ahead of 12Z model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 24 марта?
56°F или выше 40%
54-55°F 29%
52-53°F 21%
40-41°F 7.2%
37°F или ниже
1%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
7%
42-43°F
3%
44-45°F
8%
46–47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
29%
56°F или выше
32%
56°F или выше 40%
54-55°F 29%
52-53°F 21%
40-41°F 7.2%
37°F или ниже
1%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
7%
42-43°F
3%
44-45°F
8%
46–47°F
2%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
29%
56°F или выше
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chicago's March 24 high temperature clusters tightly around the mid-50s°F, with 56°F or higher leading at 32.5% due to the latest National Weather Service forecast at O'Hare International Airport eyeing 54-56°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds enhancing diurnal mixing. Differentiating the top bins, ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a 2-4°F spread from geopotential height anomalies over the Midwest—a weak upper trough risks cooler 52-53°F if clouds thicken (21% odds), while stronger warm advection could push 56°F+ (32.5%). Historical March norms (45-50°F) underscore the mild anomaly, but pre-frontal volatility tempers conviction ahead of 12Z model runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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