Trader sentiment on Warsaw's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 11–13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. These models project daytime peaks of 11–12°C in the city center, accounting for urban heat island effects boosting readings by 1–2°C over rural stations. Differentiating factors include slight divergences in boundary layer mixing—cooler GFS runs emphasize northerly winds capping at 10–11°C, while warmer ECMWF outliers hit 13–14°C under clearer skies. Historical March 27 averages hover near 9°C, but recent mild anomalies and low precipitation odds favor the upper cluster, with IMGW updates tomorrow potentially sharpening resolution criteria around official Chopin Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?
11°C 29%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 17%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
3%
9°C
10%
10°C
15%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
17%
15°C or higher
10%
11°C 29%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 17%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
3%
9°C
10%
10°C
15%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
17%
15°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Warsaw's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 11–13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mild highs amid a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe. These models project daytime peaks of 11–12°C in the city center, accounting for urban heat island effects boosting readings by 1–2°C over rural stations. Differentiating factors include slight divergences in boundary layer mixing—cooler GFS runs emphasize northerly winds capping at 10–11°C, while warmer ECMWF outliers hit 13–14°C under clearer skies. Historical March 27 averages hover near 9°C, but recent mild anomalies and low precipitation odds favor the upper cluster, with IMGW updates tomorrow potentially sharpening resolution criteria around official Chopin Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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