Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Los Angeles high temperature of 76-77°F (28%) or 74-75°F (25%) on March 27, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast predicting a high near 74°F at LAX under sunny skies with light northeast winds aloft. A building high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence inversion, limiting marine layer stratus and allowing daytime heating to mid-70s amid low humidity. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF ensembles favor 74-76°F with persistent coastal clouds, while warmer GFS runs project 78°F+ if offshore flow strengthens, explaining tight odds clustering. Historical late-March averages hover at 70°F, but this anomalously dry setup elevates upper-mid 70s probabilities ahead of evening forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 27?
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
82-83°F 18%
71°F or below
14%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 18%
82-83°F 18%
71°F or below
14%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Los Angeles high temperature of 76-77°F (28%) or 74-75°F (25%) on March 27, driven primarily by the National Weather Service's latest forecast predicting a high near 74°F at LAX under sunny skies with light northeast winds aloft. A building high-pressure ridge promotes subsidence inversion, limiting marine layer stratus and allowing daytime heating to mid-70s amid low humidity. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF ensembles favor 74-76°F with persistent coastal clouds, while warmer GFS runs project 78°F+ if offshore flow strengthens, explaining tight odds clustering. Historical late-March averages hover at 70°F, but this anomalously dry setup elevates upper-mid 70s probabilities ahead of evening forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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