Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 hinges on closely matched forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, converging on 71-73°F amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with 70-71°F (25.5%) edging 72-73°F (24.5%) due to persistent morning marine layer delaying coastal clearing. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength—potentially capping peaks at 70-71°F if low clouds linger—and subtle ridging amplification, which could boost afternoon highs by 1-2°F via subsidence warming if offshore tendencies strengthen per latest 12z runs. Historical March 26 averages around 70°F, but recent model ensembles imply 60% odds for 70-75°F, underscoring uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch evening NWS updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 7.0%
$16,232 Объем
$16,232 Объем
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 26%
72-73°F 24%
74-75°F 13%
78-79°F 7.0%
$16,232 Объем
$16,232 Объем
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 26 hinges on closely matched forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, converging on 71-73°F amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, with 70-71°F (25.5%) edging 72-73°F (24.5%) due to persistent morning marine layer delaying coastal clearing. Differentiating factors include onshore flow strength—potentially capping peaks at 70-71°F if low clouds linger—and subtle ridging amplification, which could boost afternoon highs by 1-2°F via subsidence warming if offshore tendencies strengthen per latest 12z runs. Historical March 26 averages around 70°F, but recent model ensembles imply 60% odds for 70-75°F, underscoring uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch evening NWS updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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