Trader consensus on Beijing's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 21-24°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project peaks of 21-23°C amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover following a recent cold snap. The China Meteorological Administration's short-range outlook reinforces this, showing model spreads of ±2°C due to uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, but anthropogenic warming and jet stream ridging have pushed recent years higher, differentiating the top outcomes: 22°C leads slightly on consensus diurnal maxima, while 24°C hinges on clearer skies boosting insolation. Upcoming hourly updates could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
13%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
3%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
13%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Beijing's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 21-24°C, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project peaks of 21-23°C amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover following a recent cold snap. The China Meteorological Administration's short-range outlook reinforces this, showing model spreads of ±2°C due to uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and urban heat island amplification in the capital. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, but anthropogenic warming and jet stream ridging have pushed recent years higher, differentiating the top outcomes: 22°C leads slightly on consensus diurnal maxima, while 24°C hinges on clearer skies boosting insolation. Upcoming hourly updates could shift odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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