Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include minor model spread—ECMWF slightly cooler at ~25°C due to anticipated afternoon cloud buildup, versus GFS warmer at ~26°C with clearer skies—compounded by Beijing's urban heat island effect amplifying temps by 1-2°C. Historical late-March highs average 15-20°C but show volatility from jet stream shifts; low precipitation odds (under 20%) reduce cooling risks, though real-time observations could pivot odds as China Meteorological Administration updates emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 18%
23°C 12%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 27%
24°C 18%
23°C 12%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
12%
24°C
18%
25°C
32%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 25°C (31.5%) and 26°C (26.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in this narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include minor model spread—ECMWF slightly cooler at ~25°C due to anticipated afternoon cloud buildup, versus GFS warmer at ~26°C with clearer skies—compounded by Beijing's urban heat island effect amplifying temps by 1-2°C. Historical late-March highs average 15-20°C but show volatility from jet stream shifts; low precipitation odds (under 20%) reduce cooling risks, though real-time observations could pivot odds as China Meteorological Administration updates emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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