Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles drive the tight clustering of odds around 15–17°C for Ankara's March 28 high temperature, projecting peaks near 16°C under mild southerly winds advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. This consensus has boosted 17°C (21.5%) slightly ahead, as minor updates show reduced cloud cover in afternoon hours, enhancing solar insolation and diurnal warming. Lower outcomes like 13–14°C gain traction from historical late-March averages of 12–14°C and potential northerly cold advection if a weak front materializes, per Turkish MGM guidance. Trader sentiment hinges on today's final model runs, with resolution tied to official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 28 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Анкаре 28 марта?
17°C 22%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
14°C 16%
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
10%
11°C
7%
12°C
11%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C или выше
12%
17°C 22%
15°C 20%
16°C 18%
14°C 16%
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
10%
11°C
7%
12°C
11%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
20%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C или выше
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles drive the tight clustering of odds around 15–17°C for Ankara's March 28 high temperature, projecting peaks near 16°C under mild southerly winds advecting warmer air from the Mediterranean. This consensus has boosted 17°C (21.5%) slightly ahead, as minor updates show reduced cloud cover in afternoon hours, enhancing solar insolation and diurnal warming. Lower outcomes like 13–14°C gain traction from historical late-March averages of 12–14°C and potential northerly cold advection if a weak front materializes, per Turkish MGM guidance. Trader sentiment hinges on today's final model runs, with resolution tied to official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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