Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–14°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 26, driven by converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a high-pressure ridge stabilizing mild continental air masses over central Turkey. Recent developments, including a weakening low-pressure system to the north, have narrowed model spreads to just 1–2°C, elevating 13°C (31%) and 14°C (28.5%) above 12°C (28%), while outliers like 15°C+ fade below 5%. Scientific differentiators include subtle jet stream undulations favoring slight warming versus persistent northerly flows, against March climatological norms of 12–15°C highs from Turkish MGM records; a final 24-hour forecast update could tip the balance amid typical late-winter variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
14°C 29%
13°C 28%
12°C 28%
11°C 10%
$12,474 Объем
$12,474 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 29%
13°C 28%
12°C 28%
11°C 10%
$12,474 Объем
$12,474 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
5%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 12–14°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 26, driven by converging ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a high-pressure ridge stabilizing mild continental air masses over central Turkey. Recent developments, including a weakening low-pressure system to the north, have narrowed model spreads to just 1–2°C, elevating 13°C (31%) and 14°C (28.5%) above 12°C (28%), while outliers like 15°C+ fade below 5%. Scientific differentiators include subtle jet stream undulations favoring slight warming versus persistent northerly flows, against March climatological norms of 12–15°C highs from Turkish MGM records; a final 24-hour forecast update could tip the balance amid typical late-winter variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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