Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS are driving the razor-thin trader split favoring 24°C (29%) over 23°C (28%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, with both outcomes reflecting a projected mild late-winter day amid low model spread. Recent runs show peak afternoon highs clustering tightly between 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling, though minor discrepancies arise from varying cloud cover forecasts and diurnal solar heating. Historical March maxima average 21-23°C, but this year's warmer Mediterranean sea surface temperatures add 1-2°C upside risk, keeping 25°C viable at 18%; traders await Israel's Meteorological Service update for resolution clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 28 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 28 марта?
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
17°C или ниже
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C или выше
6%
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
17°C или ниже
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
11%
20°C
11%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
28%
24°C
29%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C или выше
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS are driving the razor-thin trader split favoring 24°C (29%) over 23°C (28%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, with both outcomes reflecting a projected mild late-winter day amid low model spread. Recent runs show peak afternoon highs clustering tightly between 23-25°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling, though minor discrepancies arise from varying cloud cover forecasts and diurnal solar heating. Historical March maxima average 21-23°C, but this year's warmer Mediterranean sea surface temperatures add 1-2°C upside risk, keeping 25°C viable at 18%; traders await Israel's Meteorological Service update for resolution clarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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