Latest ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS point to a narrow range of 16-17°C as the most probable daytime highs in Tel Aviv on March 26, fueling the dead heat between those outcomes at 36.5% implied odds each. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds capping peak heating around mid-afternoon. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in cloud cover and sea-breeze intensity, which could shave or add 1°C via coastal moderation from the Mediterranean; historical March 26 averages hover at 18°C, but a lingering winter air mass suppresses outliers. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z updates for resolution-shifting refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
17°C 37%
16°C 34%
18°C 17%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
34%
17°C
36%
18°C
17%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
16°C 34%
18°C 17%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
34%
17°C
36%
18°C
17%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS point to a narrow range of 16-17°C as the most probable daytime highs in Tel Aviv on March 26, fueling the dead heat between those outcomes at 36.5% implied odds each. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, projecting mild conditions under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds capping peak heating around mid-afternoon. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads in cloud cover and sea-breeze intensity, which could shave or add 1°C via coastal moderation from the Mediterranean; historical March 26 averages hover at 18°C, but a lingering winter air mass suppresses outliers. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z updates for resolution-shifting refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы