Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature at 18-19°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds atop 18°C (21%), 17-20°C (each ~17%), and 21-22°C (~16.5%). These align with the Israel Meteorological Service's outlook for mild Mediterranean conditions under a weak upper-level ridge, suppressing extremes amid light southerly winds and sea surface temperatures near 18°C. Historical March data shows average highs of 19°C with a standard deviation of 2-3°C, explaining the 14% on 16°C and 11.5% on 15°C from occasional cool fronts, while low odds for 23°C+ (2.5%) reflect negligible heat dome risk per model spreads. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 марта?
18°C 22%
17°C 17%
19°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
22%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
3%
24°C или выше
2%
18°C 22%
17°C 17%
19°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
22%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
3%
24°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Tel Aviv's March 25 high temperature at 18-19°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds atop 18°C (21%), 17-20°C (each ~17%), and 21-22°C (~16.5%). These align with the Israel Meteorological Service's outlook for mild Mediterranean conditions under a weak upper-level ridge, suppressing extremes amid light southerly winds and sea surface temperatures near 18°C. Historical March data shows average highs of 19°C with a standard deviation of 2-3°C, explaining the 14% on 16°C and 11.5% on 15°C from occasional cool fronts, while low odds for 23°C+ (2.5%) reflect negligible heat dome risk per model spreads. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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