Latest ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS pinpoint Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 22 at 17-19°C, driving trader consensus with 36.5% implied probability on 18°C, 23.5% on 17°C, and 18.5% on 19°C. These align with March climatology—historical highs average 19°C amid Mediterranean spring patterns—and recent observations of stable highs around 18-20°C under weak high-pressure influence. Short-range updates show minimal divergence, with no signals for advection of cooler air masses or heat waves, keeping extremes below 4% odds; traders eye Israel Meteorological Service's afternoon verification for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
18°C 37%
17°C 24%
19°C 18%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
10%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
17°C 24%
19°C 18%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
10%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS pinpoint Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 22 at 17-19°C, driving trader consensus with 36.5% implied probability on 18°C, 23.5% on 17°C, and 18.5% on 19°C. These align with March climatology—historical highs average 19°C amid Mediterranean spring patterns—and recent observations of stable highs around 18-20°C under weak high-pressure influence. Short-range updates show minimal divergence, with no signals for advection of cooler air masses or heat waves, keeping extremes below 4% odds; traders eye Israel Meteorological Service's afternoon verification for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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