Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 20, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 21°C at 28%. This reflects mild Mediterranean spring conditions, with seasonal averages around 19-20°C but influenced by a weakening high-pressure system allowing southerly winds to boost temperatures slightly above norm. Recent model updates show consensus on light cloud cover and low precipitation risk, minimizing extremes; historical data confirms March highs rarely exceed 25°C. Traders await final hourly observations from official stations, as small variances could shift resolutions between 20-23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 20?
22°C 41%
21°C 28%
20°C 20%
23°C 4.9%
$33,254 Объем
$33,254 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
41%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 28%
20°C 20%
23°C 4.9%
$33,254 Объем
$33,254 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
41%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 22°C in Tel Aviv on March 20, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability for that outcome, followed closely by 21°C at 28%. This reflects mild Mediterranean spring conditions, with seasonal averages around 19-20°C but influenced by a weakening high-pressure system allowing southerly winds to boost temperatures slightly above norm. Recent model updates show consensus on light cloud cover and low precipitation risk, minimizing extremes; historical data confirms March highs rarely exceed 25°C. Traders await final hourly observations from official stations, as small variances could shift resolutions between 20-23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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