Tight market odds clustering around 3–5°C for Toronto's March 28 high temperature stem from Environment Canada's latest forecast pinning the peak near 4°C amid a cool post-frontal northerly airflow. Ensemble models (GEM, ECMWF, GFS) exhibit low spread, with 70% of members between 1–6°C, differentiating frontrunners through variations in afternoon cloudiness and Lake Ontario moderation—reducing extremes while enabling 1–2°C swings. Recent 12Z runs show slight bullish shifts toward 5°C from enhanced diurnal heating, but persistent upper-level troughing caps 7°C+ potential; historical late-March averages of 5–6°C align with trader consensus, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
3°C 24%
4°C 23%
1°C 19%
2°C 19%
-1°C или ниже
6%
0°C
10%
1°C
19%
2°C
25%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C
11%
6°C
9%
7°C
8%
8°C
7%
9°C or higher
2%
3°C 24%
4°C 23%
1°C 19%
2°C 19%
-1°C или ниже
6%
0°C
10%
1°C
19%
2°C
25%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C
11%
6°C
9%
7°C
8%
8°C
7%
9°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight market odds clustering around 3–5°C for Toronto's March 28 high temperature stem from Environment Canada's latest forecast pinning the peak near 4°C amid a cool post-frontal northerly airflow. Ensemble models (GEM, ECMWF, GFS) exhibit low spread, with 70% of members between 1–6°C, differentiating frontrunners through variations in afternoon cloudiness and Lake Ontario moderation—reducing extremes while enabling 1–2°C swings. Recent 12Z runs show slight bullish shifts toward 5°C from enhanced diurnal heating, but persistent upper-level troughing caps 7°C+ potential; historical late-March averages of 5–6°C align with trader consensus, underscoring model uncertainty near resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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