Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Toronto's highest temperature on March 27 at around 4°C under cloudy skies with light winds, driving 66.5% trader consensus for 3°C or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with late-March climatology, where historical highs average 5-7°C amid transitioning spring patterns, though a lingering cool upper-level trough suppresses warmth. Recent developments include a 24-hour model update showing reduced snow risk and stable highs above freezing, boosting probabilities for 2°C (16%) and 1°C (11%), while sub-zero outcomes fade below 10% combined amid low volatility in short-range guidance. Traders eye afternoon observations from Pearson Airport for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 27?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 27?
3°C or higher 67%
2°C 16%
1°C 11.0%
0°C 4.4%
-7°C or below
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
1%
-4°C
1%
-3°C
2%
-2°C
3%
-1°C
2%
0°C
4%
1°C
11%
2°C
16%
3°C or higher
67%
3°C or higher 67%
2°C 16%
1°C 11.0%
0°C 4.4%
-7°C or below
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
1%
-4°C
1%
-3°C
2%
-2°C
3%
-1°C
2%
0°C
4%
1°C
11%
2°C
16%
3°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models like GFS and ECMWF project Toronto's highest temperature on March 27 at around 4°C under cloudy skies with light winds, driving 66.5% trader consensus for 3°C or higher as the leading outcome. This aligns with late-March climatology, where historical highs average 5-7°C amid transitioning spring patterns, though a lingering cool upper-level trough suppresses warmth. Recent developments include a 24-hour model update showing reduced snow risk and stable highs above freezing, boosting probabilities for 2°C (16%) and 1°C (11%), while sub-zero outcomes fade below 10% combined amid low volatility in short-range guidance. Traders eye afternoon observations from Pearson Airport for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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